Award-Winning Fantasy Football Advice

The Dolphins added Tennessee RB Jaylen Wright in Round 4. Wright is one of the most explosive RBs in this year’s class. He averaged 6.2 yards per carry over his three college seasons, including a huge 7.4 yards per carry in 2023. 14.0% of Wright’s runs last year went for 15+ yards – the second-highest rate among this year’s top-25 RB prospects. So it wasn’t a big surprise when he blazed a 4.38-second 40 time at 5’11 and 210 pounds. Wright isn’t just a pure speed back, though. He runs with plenty of power, averaging 4.35 yards after contact per attempt last year – fifth among 157 qualifying RBs. Wright played in a spread offense at Tennessee that afforded him some huge running lanes. He’ll have a transition to make to his NFL scheme. But his combination of size, explosiveness, and long speed can’t be taught. Wright also proved capable in the passing game this past year, catching 22 balls for 141 yards. We see a lot of Lamar Miller in his game. Wright adds more speed to an explosive Dolphins offense, although he’ll be challenged to find playing time behind De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert. Mostert recently inked an extension that keeps him in Miami through the 2025 season.

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The Bengals added Iowa TE Erick All in the fourth round of the 2024 NFL Draft. All’s college career was marred by injury. He needed spinal surgery in 2022 and then tore his right ACL this past October. He flashed at two different schools when he was healthy, though. All tallied 38 catches and 437 yards for Michigan in 2021 – both marks ranking second on the team. Then he led Iowa with 299 receiving yards this past year, despite missing the final seven games with that knee injury. In fact, All accounted for a whopping 36.6% of Iowa’s receiving yards in his seven outings. His 2.62 yards per route ranked third among 81 TEs with 30+ targets. Durability is a legitimate concern, but All is an intriguing sleeper in this rookie TE class. Landing with QB Joe Burrow only adds to that sleeper appeal. All joins Mike Gesicki, Drew Sample, and Tanner Hudson in what should be a pretty wide-open TE room this summer. We’ll see who earns snaps.

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The Ravens selected North Carolina WR Devontez Walker in Round 4 of the NFL Draft. Walker’s path to the draft was a long one that included a 2019 ACL tear and multiple transfers. He entered scouts’ radar in 2022 at Kent State, where he tallied 58-921-11 in 12 games. Walker accounted for 29.6% of the team’s catches, 35.6% of the receiving yards, and 64.7% of the receiving TDs. Strong marks – the kind you want to see from a guy facing a lower level of competition. A transfer to North Carolina paired Walker with top-10 QB prospect Drake Maye. However, Walker didn’t play a full season, as an eligibility battle with the NCAA limited the Carolina native to eight games. When active, he filled an outside, vertical role. That led to a massive 18.2-yard aDOT and 17.0 yards per catch. The nearly 6’2, 193-pounder effectively used his 83rd percentile wingspan to snag 10 of 17 contested catch opportunities (58.5%). Walker also boats NFL-caliber speed on tape. According to tracking data from Zebra Sports, he hit a Senior Bowl-high 21.18 MPH. Walker’s negatives come from a lack of proven post-catch ability and a thin route portfolio. Overall, we’re intrigued by the size/athleticism package. In Baltimore, Walker finds intriguing opportunity behind No. 1 WR Zay Flowers. Walker will primarily compete for snaps with Rashod Bateman and Nelson Agholor. The rookie at least has a shot to provide some spike weeks for best-ball teams. Longer term, he has the potential to develop into a field-stretching No. 2 WR for QB Lamar Jackson.

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The Patriots selected UCF WR Javon Baker in Round 4 of the NFL Draft. Baker’s college journey began at Alabama, where he arrived as a four-star recruit. Meaningful production simply didn’t follow. From 2020-2021, the Georgia native tallied only 9 catches (19 games). He entered the transfer portal in January of 2022 and landed at UCF that June. Right away, he led the Knights in yards (796) while finishing second in catches (56) and TDs (5). Baker’s production hit new highs last fall (52-1,139-7) as he played more of a downfield role. His aDOT finished at 17.1, while he also averaged 7.2 yards after catch per reception. Baker’s 3.21 yards per route run should also open eyes. That ranked eighth among 78 WRs with 80+ targets. Baker doesn’t always show plus speed on tape, but at 6’1, 207, he does a nice job in contested situations. We’ll just have to keep an eye on his hands. For his career, Baker dropped 15 passes for an 11.4% drop rate. The rookie joins a rebuilding Patriots offense that’s also added QB Drake Maye and WR Ja’Lynn Polk so far in this draft. There’s certainly opportunity for Baker to earn a 2024 role, although he’s only worth a shot in deep best-ball drafts for now. Longer term, he could develop into a top-2 option for New England.

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The Giants selected Penn State TE Theo Johnson in Round 4 of the NFL Draft. A converted WR, Johnson spent four years with the Nittany Lions – two as a full-time starter. Career-best numbers surfaced as a senior, but he wasn’t a major performer (34-341-7). He accounted for 13.8% of the team’s catches, 12.2% of the receiving yards, and 20.3% of the receiving TDs. He managed just 1.26 yards per route run -- down from the 1.58 figure he tallied as a junior. The real promise here lies in Johnson’s athletic gifts, which helped him to play all over the formation (47.9% inline, 38.8% slot, 9.8% wide). At 6’6, 259 pounds, he’s simply a rare athlete. Look no further than his Combine performance, which included a 4.57 forty, a 39.5-inch vertical, a 125-inch broad jump, and a 4.19 shuttle. Altogether, Johnson posted a historic 9.99 Relative Athletic Score. Now, his game needs refinement – most notably in his route running. Johnson also found himself in two off-field incidents that led to misdemeanors. He joins a Giants team that’s still waiting to hear whether TE Darren Waller will continue his football career. If not, TE Daniel Bellinger would stand as Johnson’s top competition for snaps. That’d give the rookie an outside shot at 2024 fantasy value – although he’s more of a dynasty bench stash.

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The Broncos spent the second pick of Round 4 on Oregon WR Troy Franklin. The No. 3 WR in the 2021 recruiting class broke out as a sophomore in 2022, leading the Ducks with 61 catches, 891 yards, and 9 TDs. He blasted by those numbers this past year, finishing top-6 in the country in receiving yards (1,383) and TDs (14). Franklin’s 3.32 yards per route ranked sixth among 286 qualifying WRs. His 87.3 Pro Football Focus receiving grade ranked 15th. Franklin was dominant going deep, averaging a huge 17.1 yards per catch and ranking top-10 in the nation in catches (14), receiving yards (558), and TDs (7) on targets 20+ yards downfield. He ran a 4.41-second 40-yard dash at the Combine and looks at least that fast on tape. Franklin regularly ran by DBs in man coverage and defeated angles vs. zone coverage. That speed also makes him a weapon after the catch. The concerns: Franklin is a wiry 6’2, 176-pounder and struggles with drops (8.0% career drop rate). He’s not a good bet to emerge as a No. 1 WR in the NFL. But his big-play ability gives him the potential to score a bunch of fantasy points without big target volume. Franklin’s dynasty value obviously takes a big hit after he fell to Round 4. But he landed with the team that drafted his QB of the past two years, Bo Nix, in Round 1. The Broncos traded away WR Jerry Jeudy this offseason. They still have WR Courtland Sutton under contract through 2025. He has been a subject of trade rumors, however, and sports a cuttable dead-cap number ($3.825 million) for the final year of his deal. WR Marvin Mims arrived in the second round of 2023 but has yet to truly break through. Ultimately, there's room for Franklin to earn a prominent role over the next few years. He'll carry upside if he slides far enough in your rookie draft. Expect his rookie ADP to decline vs. where it was pre-NFL Draft. How much that declines will be key to whether you should target him.

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The Panthers selected Texas TE Ja’Tavion Sanders with the first pick of Round 4. He’s been overshadowed in this class by TE Brock Bowers, but Sanders is a damn good prospect in his own right. A five-star recruit and top-30 overall player in the 2021 class, Sanders broke out as a sophomore in 2022. He ranked second on that Longhorns team in catches (54), third in receiving yards (613), and second in TDs (5). Last year brought a career-high 682 receiving yards, despite the arrival of WR Adonai Mitchell. Sanders averaged a big 15.2 yards per catch, fueled largely by 7.7 yards after catch per reception. He’s a fluid athlete with plus speed, capable of making plays at all three levels of the field. Sanders also possesses nice ball skills and reliable hands. He was charged with just four drops (3.9% drop rate) over the last two seasons. Sanders needs to clean up his route running and consistency as a blocker. But he has all the tools to develop into a perennial top-12 fantasy TE. Sanders finds plenty of opportunity in Carolina, where he joins a TE room alongside Tommy Tremble, Ian Thomas, and Stephen Sullivan. The rookie has a good chance to win the Week 1 starting job.

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Panthers RB Jonathon Brooks confirmed on Friday night that he's on track to be ready for training camp after tearing his ACL in November. “I’m out there, I’m running, I’m about to start cutting," Brooks said. "So I’m progressing well. I’m right on track on where I need to be." Despite the knee injury, Brooks was the only RB in the class to get Round 2 capital. And he landed in a backfield with Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders as the competition for touches. The Panthers might slow-roll Brooks early this season. But it shouldn't take him long to emerge as the clear lead back. He boasts top-20 upside in redraft leagues and already looks like a top-12 dynasty RB.

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The Buccaneers selected Washington WR Jalen McMillan in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. McMillan functioned as Washington’s primary slot over the past two seasons, with 2022 turning up peak production (79-1,098-0). He hit 80 yards in seven of 13 games. McMillan even out-targeted Rome Odunze (118-110) with help from one extra game played. Last year, a left MCL sprain limited McMillan’s output. Still, he posted solid marks in yards per route run (2.30) and yards after catch per reception (6.4). Notably, his aDOT dropped to 9.6 – well below the 13.1 figure he posted in ‘22. Of course, catching balls from Round 1 QB Michael Penix Jr. helped. But the tape here shows a nice blend of route polish and athleticism. At the NFL Combine, McMillan registered a strong 9.33 Relative Athletic Score, highlighted by a 10’7” broad jump. The 6’1, 203-pounder could earn a starting role as soon as 2025 when Chris Godwin is due for free agency. For 2024, though, McMillan is only worth stashing in deep formats.

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The Packers drafted USC RB MarShawn Lloyd in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. Lloyd tore his left ACL in fall camp of his freshman season at South Carolina in 2020 and carried just 64 times in 2021. He emerged as the backfield leader in 2022, tallying 111 carries for 573 yards and nine TDs. Lloyd then headed west to USC and turned in a career year. Although he shared the backfield with fifth-year senior Austin Jones, Lloyd ripped off 820 yards and nine TDs on a huge 7.1 yards per carry. He took 15.7% of his carries for 15+ yards – the best rate among this year’s top-25 RB prospects. And he ranked third in Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating among all 157 FBS RBs with 100+ carries. Lloyd confirmed that dynamism by earning a strong 8.62 Relative Athletic Score at the Combine, highlighted by a 4.46-second 40 time at 5’9 and 220 pounds. Lloyd is relatively unproven as a pass catcher and comes with durability concerns after also missing time with a thigh injury and broken left arm dating back to high school. Unfortunately, he landed on a Packers team with Josh Jacobs under contract through the 2027 season. While Lloyd should eventually work ahead of A.J. Dillon, the rookie is off the redraft radar.

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